
| FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 24, 2026 Contact: Dan KranzHernandez for New York (315) 751-1771 press@hernandezforny.com New York, NY — Joseph Hernandez, candidate for New York State Comptroller, today released a quantitative model projecting that the state’s economic and quality-of-life outcomes will diverge sharply by 2030 under continued leadership by Kathy Hochul versus election of Bruce Blakeman as governor. The model uses recent measured data on jobs, energy prices, taxes, migration, and crime, then applies realistic policy impacts under both scenarios. Key findings include:Employment growth: 0.3% per year under Hochul versus 1.0% under Blakeman (+233%)Energy costs: 32¢ per kWh under Hochul versus 22¢ under Blakeman (–31%)Tax competitiveness: Remains near the worst in the nation (#50) under Hochul versus improves to roughly #38 under Blakeman (+12 spots)Combined state and local tax load: Rises under Hochul versus declines under Blakeman (–15 index points)Net domestic out-migration: Approximately 120,000 people leaving per year under Hochul versus 50,000 under Blakeman (–58%)Crime: Modest improvement under Hochul versus stronger gains under Blakeman (–18%)“As someone who has spent his career on Wall Street and is running to be the taxpayers’ watchdog, I believe New Yorkers deserve to see the numbers,” said Hernandez. “This model shows one path continues high costs and slow growth. The other aims to reverse those trends through lower energy costs, tighter spending, and stronger public safety. A Democratic legislature will limit how far any governor can go, but the direction is clear.” The model is directional and transparent. It starts from current baselines and applies straightforward compounding formulas under each policy scenario. “New Yorkers should go to the voting booth with these scenarios in mind,” Hernandez added. “The data shows the gap is real.” Note: This is a directional analytical model based on current trends and realistic policy impacts. It is not a precise forecast. |


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